Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:15 Lagos time.
Form. Elche Ilicitano CF have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. UCAM Murcia have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Elche Ilicitano CF score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Elche Ilicitano CF average 10.7 shots (5.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game. UCAM Murcia score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. UCAM Murcia average 9.3 shots (3.7 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: UCAM Murcia are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Elche Ilicitano CF.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Elche Ilicitano CF 1-1 UCAM Murcia (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).