RURED

15:00Sat 3 Oct

BER

Redditch United vs Berkhamsted FC

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · NOT IN CODES

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

RUv

Under 3.5 Goals

Redditch United v Berkhamsted FC

England - FA Cup · 15:00

1.42odds

70%book

0edge

—angles

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Redditch United have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Berkhamsted FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Berkhamsted FC have gone W W.

The numbers. Redditch United score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Redditch United average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Berkhamsted FC score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Head to head. Redditch United have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 17 Feb 2024, it finished Redditch United 1-0 Berkhamsted FC.

The case against. A knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Redditch United are not clearly stronger. Berkhamsted FC's record still gives them 42% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.

The read. Redditch United or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Redditch United the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Redditch United.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.42, 60% on the records (Redditch United: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Berkhamsted FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Redditch United 1-1 Berkhamsted FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.15

RED 5 of 5 (100%) · BER 7 of 10 (70%)88.8%

Redditch United: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Berkhamsted FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Under 3.5 GoalsMAINPAGE ONLY

1.42

RED 3 of 5 (60%) · BER 6 of 10 (60%)70%

Redditch United: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Berkhamsted FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%

REDDITCH UNITED GOALS

Redditch United Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.22

RED 5 of 5 (100%) · BER 7 of 10 (70%)76.2%

Redditch United scored in 5 of 5 at home · Berkhamsted FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

BERKHAMSTED FC GOALS

Berkhamsted FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.31

RED 8 of 10 (80%) · BER 3 of 5 (60%)66.3%

Berkhamsted FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Redditch United conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 11.6%

Redditch United goals →

Berkhamsted FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-08%

2-07%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-40.6%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

REDDITCH UNITEDLLWDWLWWWD1.70 PPG

BERKHAMSTED FCLWWWDWWLWL1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

REDDITCH UNITED HOMExBERKHAMSTED FC AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.701.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE20%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.11POINTS A GAME1.30-0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.30–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

REDDITCH UNITED OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

BERKHAMSTED FC OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

REDDITCH UNITEDxBERKHAMSTED FC

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.601.60CONCEDED A GAME0.803.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

REDDITCH UNITED 2 · 100%DRAW 0BERKHAMSTED FC 0 · 0%

2023-10-14Redditch United 2 – 1 Berkhamsted FC

2024-02-17Redditch United 1 – 0 Berkhamsted FC

TRENDS

Redditch United have scored in 100% of their games.

Berkhamsted FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Redditch United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Berkhamsted FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards