PPPLY

15:00Sat 3 Oct

HOR

Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Plymouth Parkway have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition Plymouth Parkway have gone W W. Horsham FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D. In this competition Horsham FC have gone W.

The numbers. Plymouth Parkway score two and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Horsham FC score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Plymouth Parkway or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Plymouth Parkway or Draw (no result call); Plymouth Parkway (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: Plymouth Parkway 1-1 Horsham FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

PLY 9 of 10 (90%) · HOR 5 of 5 (100%)95%

Plymouth Parkway: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Horsham FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.49

PLY 6 of 10 (60%) · HOR 5 of 5 (100%)83.7%

Plymouth Parkway: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Horsham FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

PLYMOUTH PARKWAY GOALS

Plymouth Parkway Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.24

PLY 9 of 10 (90%) · HOR 3 of 5 (60%)68.8%

Plymouth Parkway scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Horsham FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

HORSHAM FC GOALS

Horsham FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.23

PLY 4 of 5 (80%) · HOR 7 of 10 (70%)68.8%

Horsham FC scored in 4 of 5 away · Plymouth Parkway conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

Horsham FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.71

PLY 3 of 5 (60%) · HOR 8 of 10 (80%)66.3%

Horsham FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Plymouth Parkway conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PLY 9 of 10 (90%) · HOR 3 of 5 (60%)76.7%

Plymouth Parkway: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Horsham FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Plymouth Parkway or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Plymouth Parkway or Draw (no result call); Plymouth Parkway (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Plymouth Parkway or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Plymouth Parkway goals →

Horsham FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PLYMOUTH PARKWAYLWWWWWWWLD2.20 PPG

HORSHAM FCDDWWLDDLWD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PLYMOUTH PARKWAY HOMExHORSHAM FC AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME1.201.10CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE22%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.22POINTS A GAME1.22+1.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES9

Plymouth Parkway: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

PLYMOUTH PARKWAY 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

PLYMOUTH PARKWAY OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

HORSHAM FC OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PLYMOUTH PARKWAYxHORSHAM FC

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME0.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.602.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Plymouth Parkway have scored in 90% of their games.

Horsham FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Plymouth Parkway kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Horsham FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets