EDGE PICKAcademia Puerto Cabello B Over 0.5 goals · 59% · @1.47
Book 68% · Us 59%-9price too short
Backed by
Academia Puerto Cabello B scored in 2 of 5 away · Yaracuyanos FC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Yaracuyanos FC's level · Yaracuyanos FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Segunda Division. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Yaracuyanos FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Academia Puerto Cabello B have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. Yaracuyanos FC score two and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Yaracuyanos FC average 5.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Academia Puerto Cabello B score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Academia Puerto Cabello B average 4.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The case against. Academia Puerto Cabello B's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Yaracuyanos FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Yaracuyanos FC the likelier winners; Yaracuyanos FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yaracuyanos FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. Best bet: Yaracuyanos FC or Draw at 1.18, 75% on the records (Yaracuyanos FC unbeaten in 4 of 7; Academia Puerto Cabello B failed to win 5 of 5 away). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Yaracuyanos FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Yaracuyanos FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Yaracuyanos FC 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello B (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Yaracuyanos FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
YAR 3 of 5 (60%) · ACA 4 of 6 (67%)75.6%
Yaracuyanos FC scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Academia Puerto Cabello B trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · Yaracuyanos FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Yaracuyanos FC's level
Double Chance: Yaracuyanos FC or DrawMAININ CODES
1.18
YAR 4 of 7 (57%) · ACA 5 of 5 (100%)75.2%
Yaracuyanos FC unbeaten in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Academia Puerto Cabello B failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · Yaracuyanos FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Yaracuyanos FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
YAR 6 of 7 (86%) · ACA 4 of 5 (80%)82.9%
Yaracuyanos FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Academia Puerto Cabello B: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Yaracuyanos FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Yaracuyanos FC's level
ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO B GOALS
Academia Puerto Cabello B Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
YAR 2 of 5 (40%) · ACA 5 of 7 (71%)59%
Academia Puerto Cabello B scored in 2 of 5 away · Yaracuyanos FC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Yaracuyanos FC's level · Yaracuyanos FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (85%) and the records (61%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Yaracuyanos FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Yaracuyanos FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (77%) and the records (51%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it); Yaracuyanos FC or Both Teams Score (the numbers (85%) and the records (60%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Yaracuyanos FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (91%) and the records (61%) are 30 points apart, and nothing settles it); Yaracuyanos FC Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (85%) and the records (60%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.2%
Yaracuyanos FC goals →
Academia Puerto… goals ↓
0-04%
1-06%
2-06%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-15%
1-110%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.8%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-31.0%
5-30.4%
0-40.6%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.7%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
YARACUYANOS FCWLLLLWDWWL1.30 PPG
ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO BDLLDLWLDDW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
YARACUYANOS FC HOMExACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO B AWAY
1.26SCORED A GAME1.291.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4350%BOTH SCORED50%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.36CORNERS A GAME3.962.88CARDS A GAME2.65
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME0.90+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40+3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.81.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES10
Yaracuyanos FC: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
YARACUYANOS FC OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO B OR DRAW
33%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
YARACUYANOS FCxACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO B
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME2.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Yaracuyanos FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Academia Puerto Cabello B have scored in 60% of their games.
Yaracuyanos FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Academia Puerto Cabello B kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards