Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Workington AFC are 5th on 19 points after 10 games, level on points with Guiseley AFC, 2 points clear of Warrington Town. A win would take them above Guiseley AFC. Cleethorpes Town FC are 1st on 23 points after 10 games, 1 point clear of Avro.
Form. Workington AFC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Workington AFC have gone W W W W W W. Cleethorpes Town FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. In this competition Cleethorpes Town FC have gone D W W L W W.
The numbers. Workington AFC score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Workington AFC average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Cleethorpes Town FC score 2.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Cleethorpes Town FC average 4.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Workington AFC have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished Workington AFC 1-1 Cleethorpes Town FC.
The case against. Workington AFC's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Cleethorpes Town FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cleethorpes Town FC the likelier winners; Cleethorpes Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cleethorpes Town FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, 83% on the records (Workington AFC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Cleethorpes Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Workington AFC 1-2 Cleethorpes Town FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).