Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Redcar Athletic FC are 3rd on 22 points after 10 games, level on points with Avro, 3 points clear of Guiseley AFC. A win would take them above Avro. Alfreton Town FC are 10th on 15 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Rylands, 2 points clear of Gainsborough Trinity. A win would take them above Rylands.
Form. Redcar Athletic FC have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. In this competition Redcar Athletic FC have gone D W W W D W. Alfreton Town FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition Alfreton Town FC have gone W L W L W L.
The numbers. Redcar Athletic FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Redcar Athletic FC average 3.5 corners and 0.5 cards a game. Alfreton Town FC score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Alfreton Town FC average 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. Redcar Athletic FC to win. Their goals for and against make Redcar Athletic FC the likelier winners; Redcar Athletic FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Redcar Athletic FC.
The bets. Best bet: Redcar Athletic FC or Draw at 1.23, 85% on the records (Redcar Athletic FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Alfreton Town FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Leave: Redcar Athletic FC to Win (the signs point different ways); Redcar Athletic FC (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Redcar Athletic FC 1-0 Alfreton Town FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).