Niki Volou 1924 PAE vs AE Larissa FC
Match details. Super League 2. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 12:45 Lagos time.
Form. Niki Volou 1924 PAE have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. AE Larissa FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. Niki Volou 1924 PAE score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Niki Volou 1924 PAE average 9.5 shots (3.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AE Larissa FC score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. AE Larissa FC average 9.4 shots (4.4 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: AE Larissa FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AE Larissa FC the likelier winners; AE Larissa FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AE Larissa FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.42, 75% on the records (Niki Volou 1924 PAE: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7; AE Larissa FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Niki Volou 1924 PAE 1-2 AE Larissa FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).