Match details. Liga Premier Serie A, Apertura - 1. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CF Correcaminos Uat II are 10th on 2 points after 4 games, level on points with Ciervos. A win would take them above Ciervos. Heroes de Zaci FC are 9th on 2 points after 4 games, 3 points behind Calor de San Pedro. A win would take them level on points with Calor de San Pedro.
Form. CF Correcaminos Uat II have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. Heroes de Zaci FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W.
The numbers. CF Correcaminos Uat II score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CF Correcaminos Uat II average 6.1 shots (1.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Heroes de Zaci FC score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last eight away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.38, 82% on the records (CF Correcaminos Uat II: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Heroes de Zaci FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 away). Leave: Heroes de Zaci FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Heroes de Zaci FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: CF Correcaminos Uat II 2-1 Heroes de Zaci FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).