Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique
Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 16. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
What's at stake. Union San Felipe are 15th on 22 points after 25 games, level on points with Deportes Santa Cruz, 4 points clear of Rangers de Talca. A win would take them above Deportes Santa Cruz. Deportes Iquique are 12th on 28 points after 25 games, 4 points behind Deportes Temuco, 1 point clear of Curico Unido. Union San Felipe have nothing left to play for. Deportes Iquique have nothing left to play for.
Form. Union San Felipe have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. In this competition Union San Felipe have gone L L D D L L. Deportes Iquique have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. In this competition Deportes Iquique have gone W L L L W D.
The numbers. Union San Felipe score 0.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Deportes Iquique score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Union San Felipe have won three, drawn one and lost three. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Union San Felipe won one, one was drawn and Deportes Iquique won two. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Union San Felipe 0-5 Deportes Iquique.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%; four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Deportes Iquique to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Deportes Iquique the likelier winners; Deportes Iquique are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportes Iquique. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 81% on the records (Union San Felipe: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Deportes Iquique: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Deportes Iquique to Win (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Union San Felipe 0-1 Deportes Iquique (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).