MAMER

17:45Sun 4 Oct

CPC

Merida AD vs CP Cacereno SAD

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto. The referee is A. Rodriguez.

What's at stake. Merida AD are 18th on 3 points after 5 games, level on points with Extremadura 1924, 1 point clear of UD Ourense. A win would take them above Extremadura 1924. CP Cacereno SAD are 4th on 11 points after 5 games, level on points with Athletic Club II, 1 point clear of Mirandes. A win would take them above Athletic Club II.

Form. Merida AD have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. CP Cacereno SAD have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.

The numbers. Merida AD score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Merida AD average 13.0 shots (4.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 4.0 cards a game. CP Cacereno SAD score 1.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. CP Cacereno SAD average 10.3 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Merida AD have won two, drawn none and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished Merida AD 1-0 CP Cacereno SAD.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 30% against the records' 61%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The read. No firm call: CP Cacereno SAD are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make CP Cacereno SAD the likelier winners; CP Cacereno SAD are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CP Cacereno SAD.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Merida AD 1-1 CP Cacereno SAD (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MER 5 of 5 (100%) · CPC 7 of 8 (88%)94.6%

Merida AD: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CP Cacereno SAD: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 4 · Merida AD: only games against sides at CP Cacereno SAD's level · CP Cacereno SAD: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MER 3 of 5 (60%) · CPC 8 of 8 (100%)85.7%

Merida AD: under 5.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CP Cacereno SAD: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · Merida AD: only games against sides at CP Cacereno SAD's level · CP Cacereno SAD: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.30

MER 3 of 5 (60%) · CPC 7 of 8 (88%)80.4%

Merida AD: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CP Cacereno SAD: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 4 · Merida AD: only games against sides at CP Cacereno SAD's level · CP Cacereno SAD: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MER 3 of 5 (60%) · CPC 7 of 8 (88%)80.4%

Merida AD: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CP Cacereno SAD: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 4 · Merida AD: only games against sides at CP Cacereno SAD's level · CP Cacereno SAD: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

MERIDA AD GOALS

Merida AD Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.64

MER 3 of 5 (60%) · CPC 7 of 8 (88%)75.4%

Merida AD scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · CP Cacereno SAD conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 4 · Merida AD: only games against sides at CP Cacereno SAD's level · CP Cacereno SAD: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

CP CACERENO SAD GOALS

CP Cacereno SAD Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.38

MER 7 of 8 (88%) · CPC 4 of 5 (80%)83.9%

CP Cacereno SAD scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merida AD conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 89% · H2H 3 of 4 · CP Cacereno SAD: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CP Cacereno SAD's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MER 8 of 9 (89%) · CPC 4 of 5 (80%)84.4%

Merida AD's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CP Cacereno SAD's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CP Cacereno SAD's level · CP Cacereno SAD: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 10.9%

Merida AD goals →

CP Cacereno SAD goals ↓

0-06%

1-05%

2-03%

3-01.0%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-111%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-36%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-43%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-51%

1-51%

2-50.6%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

MERIDA ADLLLDWWLLLL0.70 PPG

CP CACERENO SADWWLWDWWLWD2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MERIDA AD HOMExCP CACERENO SAD AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.601.90CONCEDED A GAME0.7010%CLEAN SHEETS50%40%FAILED TO SCORE20%4.56CORNERS A GAME4.004.00CARDS A GAME2.43

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.60POINTS A GAME2.20-0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.25LEAGUE GAMES5

CP Cacereno SAD: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

CP CACERENO SAD 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

29%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

MERIDA AD OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

CP CACERENO SAD OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MERIDA ADxCP CACERENO SAD

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.202.20CONCEDED A GAME0.203.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%5.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

MERIDA AD 2 · 50%DRAW 0CP CACERENO SAD 2 · 50%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-12-05Merida AD 0 – 1 CP Cacereno SAD

2022-04-24Merida AD 2 – 1 CP Cacereno SAD

2025-09-20Merida AD 1 – 2 CP Cacereno SAD

2026-02-22Merida AD 1 – 0 CP Cacereno SAD

TRENDS

Merida AD have scored in 50% of their games.

CP Cacereno SAD have scored in 90% of their games.

Merida AD kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

CP Cacereno SAD kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards