CACFA

17:45Sun 4 Oct

CFR

CF Algeciras vs CF Rayo Majadahonda

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras.

What's at stake. CF Algeciras are 17th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Rayo Majadahonda, level on points with Europa Fc. A win would take them above Rayo Majadahonda. CF Rayo Majadahonda are 16th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Águilas, level on points with Algeciras. A win would take them above Águilas.

Form. CF Algeciras have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. CF Rayo Majadahonda have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L.

The numbers. CF Algeciras score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. CF Algeciras average 9.6 shots (3.9 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.9 cards a game. CF Rayo Majadahonda score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Rayo Majadahonda average 9.4 shots (3.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Head to head. CF Algeciras have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 9 Apr 2023, it finished CF Algeciras 2-0 CF Rayo Majadahonda.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: CF Rayo Majadahonda are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour CF Algeciras.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: CF Rayo Majadahonda or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CF Rayo Majadahonda or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); CF Rayo Majadahonda or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: CF Algeciras 1-1 CF Rayo Majadahonda (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 10 of 10 (100%) · CFR 5 of 5 (100%)100%

CF Algeciras: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at CF Rayo Majadahonda's level · CF Rayo Majadahonda: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 9 of 10 (90%) · CFR 5 of 5 (100%)95%

CF Algeciras: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at CF Rayo Majadahonda's level · CF Rayo Majadahonda: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 9 of 10 (90%) · CFR 5 of 5 (100%)95%

CF Algeciras: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at CF Rayo Majadahonda's level · CF Rayo Majadahonda: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.35

CFA 9 of 10 (90%) · CFR 4 of 5 (80%)85%

CF Algeciras: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at CF Rayo Majadahonda's level · CF Rayo Majadahonda: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.91

CFA 7 of 10 (70%) · CFR 3 of 5 (60%)65%

CF Algeciras: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda: both scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at CF Rayo Majadahonda's level · CF Rayo Majadahonda: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

CF ALGECIRAS GOALS

CF Algeciras Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 9 of 10 (90%) · CFR 4 of 5 (80%)85%

CF Algeciras scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at CF Rayo Majadahonda's level · CF Rayo Majadahonda: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

CF Algeciras Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.64

CFA 6 of 10 (60%) · CFR 3 of 5 (60%)60%

CF Algeciras scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at CF Rayo Majadahonda's level · CF Rayo Majadahonda: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 8 of 9 (89%) · CFR 4 of 5 (80%)84.4%

CF Algeciras's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at CF Rayo Majadahonda's level · CF Rayo Majadahonda: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Left off the list: CF Rayo Majadahonda or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CF Rayo Majadahonda or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); CF Rayo Majadahonda or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

CF Algeciras goals →

CF Rayo Majadahonda goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

CF ALGECIRASWDWLLLLLDW1.10 PPG

CF RAYO MAJADAHONDAWWWDWLLDWL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CF ALGECIRAS HOMExCF RAYO MAJADAHONDA AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.401.80CONCEDED A GAME0.8020%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE20%4.33CORNERS A GAME4.603.89CARDS A GAME1.60

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.80POINTS A GAME0.80-0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.85LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CF ALGECIRAS OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

CF RAYO MAJADAHONDA OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CF ALGECIRASxCF RAYO MAJADAHONDA

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.002.20CONCEDED A GAME1.203.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%100%BOTH SCORE60%6.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

CF ALGECIRAS 2 · 100%DRAW 0CF RAYO MAJADAHONDA 0 · 0%

2022-09-03CF Algeciras 2 – 1 CF Rayo Majadahonda

2023-04-09CF Algeciras 2 – 0 CF Rayo Majadahonda

TRENDS

CF Algeciras have scored in 90% of their games.

CF Rayo Majadahonda have scored in 80% of their games.

CF Algeciras kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

CF Rayo Majadahonda kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards