RC Deportivo Fabril scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Primera Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. UD Logrones have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. RC Deportivo Fabril have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L.
The numbers. UD Logrones score 2.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. UD Logrones average 9.9 shots (5.6 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game. RC Deportivo Fabril score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. RC Deportivo Fabril average 12.2 shots (4.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. RC Deportivo Fabril's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. UD Logrones to win. An open game. UD Logrones are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Logrones. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: UD Logrones or Draw at 1.13, 80% on the records (UD Logrones unbeaten in 5 of 5; RC Deportivo Fabril failed to win 3 of 5). Leave: UD Logrones or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: UD Logrones 2-1 RC Deportivo Fabril (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UD Logrones or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 5 of 5 (100%)100%
UD Logrones: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
UD Logrones or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 4 of 5 (80%)90%
UD Logrones: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
UD Logrones or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
UD Logrones scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level
Double Chance: UD Logrones or DrawMAININ CODES
1.16
UDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 3 of 5 (60%)80%
UD Logrones unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril failed to win 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
UD Logrones 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDL 4 of 5 (80%) · RCD 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
UD Logrones scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril trailed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level
UD Logrones or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDL 4 of 5 (80%) · RCD 3 of 5 (60%)70%
UD Logrones: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 5 of 5 (100%)100%
UD Logrones: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.32
UDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 4 of 5 (80%)90%
UD Logrones: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
UD LOGRONES GOALS
UD Logrones Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 4 of 5 (80%)90%
UD Logrones scored in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
RC DEPORTIVO FABRIL GOALS
RC Deportivo Fabril Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.60
UDL 4 of 5 (80%) · RCD 4 of 5 (80%)80%
RC Deportivo Fabril scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDL 4 of 5 (80%) · RCD 4 of 5 (80%)80%
UD Logrones's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level
Left off the list: UD Logrones or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18.9%
UD Logrones goals →
RC Deportivo Fabril goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
UD LOGRONESWWWWLWWWDW2.50 PPG
RC DEPORTIVO FABRILWWWLWLDWDW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UD LOGRONES HOMExRC DEPORTIVO FABRIL AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.900.80CONCEDED A GAME0.7040%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.88CORNERS A GAME5.202.75CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
UD LOGRONES OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
RC DEPORTIVO FABRIL OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
UD Logrones have scored in 90% of their games.
RC Deportivo Fabril have scored in 80% of their games.
UD Logrones kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
RC Deportivo Fabril kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards