Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Yate Town are 14th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Gosport Borough, level on points with Bracknell Town. A win would take them above Gosport Borough. Frome Town are 7th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with Chertsey Town, 1 point clear of Taunton Town. A win would take them above Chertsey Town.
Form. Yate Town have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. Frome Town have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L D.
The numbers. Yate Town score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Frome Town score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal.
Head to head. Frome Town have won all of the last two meetings. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 16 Mar 2024, it finished Yate Town 0-2 Frome Town.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Yate Town 1-1 Frome Town (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).