Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Poole Town are 5th on 15 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Bath City, 1 point clear of Chertsey Town. A win would take them above Bath City. Evesham United are 9th on 13 points after 8 games, level on points with Taunton Town, level on points with Chichester City. A win would take them above Taunton Town.
Form. Poole Town have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Evesham United have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Poole Town average 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Evesham United score 1.5 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Poole Town have won none, drawn two and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished Poole Town 1-1 Evesham United.
The case against. Evesham United's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Poole Town to win. An open game. Poole Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Poole Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Poole Town 2-1 Evesham United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).