ENGLAND AMATEUR - SOUTHERN LEAGUE PREMIER CENTRAL

LFLEA

15:00Sat 3 Oct

HIT

Leamington FC vs Hitchin Town

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Southern League Premier Central, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Leamington FC are 18th on 6 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Worcester City, level on points with Banbury United. A win would take them above Worcester City. Hitchin Town are 16th on 7 points after 9 games, level on points with Racing Club Warwick, level on points with Worcester City. A win would take them above Racing Club Warwick.

Form. Leamington FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. Hitchin Town have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D.

The numbers. Leamington FC score 1.1 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Leamington FC average 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Hitchin Town score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Head to head. Leamington FC have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 16 Mar 2024, it finished Leamington FC 3-0 Hitchin Town.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 17%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Leamington FC 1-1 Hitchin Town (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEA 6 of 6 (100%) · HIT 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Leamington FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Hitchin Town: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Leamington FC: only games against sides at Hitchin Town's level · Hitchin Town: only games against sides at Leamington FC's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEA 6 of 6 (100%) · HIT 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Leamington FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Hitchin Town: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Leamington FC: only games against sides at Hitchin Town's level · Hitchin Town: only games against sides at Leamington FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.8%

Leamington FC goals →

Hitchin Town goals ↓

0-010%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.2%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

LEAMINGTON FCLLDWWLDLLD0.90 PPG

HITCHIN TOWNDDLDWDLLLW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LEAMINGTON FC HOMExHITCHIN TOWN AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME0.901.80CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS20%25%FAILED TO SCORE22%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.75POINTS A GAME0.75-0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

83%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LEAMINGTON FC OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

HITCHIN TOWN OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LEAMINGTON FCxHITCHIN TOWN

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.801.60CONCEDED A GAME1.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

LEAMINGTON FC 2 · 100%DRAW 0HITCHIN TOWN 0 · 0%

2023-12-02Leamington FC 2 – 1 Hitchin Town

2024-03-16Leamington FC 3 – 0 Hitchin Town

TRENDS

Leamington FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Hitchin Town have scored in 70% of their games.

Leamington FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Hitchin Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards