USUES

16:30Sun 4 Oct

ANT

UE Sant Andreu vs Antequera CF

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. The referee is F. Ortega.

What's at stake. UE Sant Andreu are 12th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Gimnastic, 1 point clear of Ibiza. A win would take them above Gimnastic. Antequera CF are 9th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with Atlético Madrid II, level on points with Real Madrid II. A win would take them above Atlético Madrid II.

Form. UE Sant Andreu have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. Antequera CF have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W.

The numbers. UE Sant Andreu score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. UE Sant Andreu average 9.0 shots (2.9 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Antequera CF score 1.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Antequera CF average 6.9 shots (3.6 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

The case against. UE Sant Andreu's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Antequera CF to win. A tight game. Antequera CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Antequera CF. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UE Sant Andreu 0-1 Antequera CF (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UES 5 of 5 (100%) · ANT 10 of 10 (100%)100%

UE Sant Andreu: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · UE Sant Andreu: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at UE Sant Andreu's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UES 5 of 5 (100%) · ANT 9 of 10 (90%)95%

UE Sant Andreu: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · UE Sant Andreu: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at UE Sant Andreu's level

UE SANT ANDREU GOALS

UE Sant Andreu Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.57

UES 3 of 5 (60%) · ANT 8 of 10 (80%)70%

UE Sant Andreu scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · UE Sant Andreu: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at UE Sant Andreu's level

UE Sant Andreu Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UES 3 of 5 (60%) · ANT 7 of 10 (70%)65%

UE Sant Andreu scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · UE Sant Andreu: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at UE Sant Andreu's level

ANTEQUERA CF GOALS

Antequera CF Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.37

UES 8 of 10 (80%) · ANT 4 of 5 (80%)80%

Antequera CF scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Sant Andreu conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Antequera CF: only games against sides at UE Sant Andreu's level · UE Sant Andreu: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

UES 4 of 5 (80%) · ANT 8 of 10 (80%)80%

UE Sant Andreu: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · UE Sant Andreu: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at UE Sant Andreu's level

Left off the list: Over 3.5 Cards (the numbers (71%) and the records (98%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 11.2%

UE Sant Andreu goals →

Antequera CF goals ↓

0-011%

1-011%

2-07%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-111%

1-114%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.7%

1-40.8%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

UE SANT ANDREUWLWLLLWLDW1.30 PPG

ANTEQUERA CFWLWWWWLDDW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UE SANT ANDREU HOMExANTEQUERA CF AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.501.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS30%40%FAILED TO SCORE20%3.00CORNERS A GAME3.222.25CARDS A GAME2.78

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME1.60+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.65LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

29%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

UE SANT ANDREU OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

ANTEQUERA CF OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

UE SANT ANDREUxANTEQUERA CF

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.202.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

UE Sant Andreu have scored in 60% of their games.

Antequera CF have scored in 80% of their games.

UE Sant Andreu kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Antequera CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards