AAADA

17:45Sat 3 Oct

JUV

AD Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos CF

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 6. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo. The referee is D. Manrique.

What's at stake. AD Alcorcon are 4th on 9 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Real Jaén, level on points with Real Murcia. A win would take them above Real Jaén. Juventud Torremolinos CF are 20th on 1 point after 5 games, 1 point behind Teruel. A win would take them above Teruel.

Form. AD Alcorcon have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D. Juventud Torremolinos CF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.

The numbers. AD Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. AD Alcorcon average 13.3 shots (6.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Juventud Torremolinos CF score 0.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Juventud Torremolinos CF average 9.4 shots (3.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings AD Alcorcon have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 8 Mar 2026, it finished AD Alcorcon 0-1 Juventud Torremolinos CF.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: AD Alcorcon are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AD Alcorcon the likelier winners; AD Alcorcon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Alcorcon. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Alcorcon 1-1 Juventud Torremolinos CF (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AD Alcorcon or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADA 8 of 10 (80%) · JUV 4 of 6 (67%)75.6%

AD Alcorcon: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventud Torremolinos CF: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · AD Alcorcon: only games against sides at Juventud Torremolinos CF's level · Juventud Torremolinos CF: only games against sides at AD Alcorcon's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADA 9 of 10 (90%) · JUV 6 of 6 (100%)93.3%

AD Alcorcon: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventud Torremolinos CF: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · AD Alcorcon: only games against sides at Juventud Torremolinos CF's level · Juventud Torremolinos CF: only games against sides at AD Alcorcon's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADA 9 of 10 (90%) · JUV 6 of 6 (100%)93.3%

AD Alcorcon: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventud Torremolinos CF: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · AD Alcorcon: only games against sides at Juventud Torremolinos CF's level · Juventud Torremolinos CF: only games against sides at AD Alcorcon's level

AD ALCORCON GOALS

AD Alcorcon Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADA 8 of 10 (80%) · JUV 4 of 6 (67%)75.6%

AD Alcorcon scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventud Torremolinos CF conceded in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · AD Alcorcon: only games against sides at Juventud Torremolinos CF's level · Juventud Torremolinos CF: only games against sides at AD Alcorcon's level

JUVENTUD TORREMOLINOS CF GOALS

Juventud Torremolinos CF Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.92

ADA 3 of 6 (50%) · JUV 7 of 10 (70%)63.3%

Juventud Torremolinos CF scored in 3 of 6 away · AD Alcorcon conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Juventud Torremolinos CF: only games against sides at AD Alcorcon's level · AD Alcorcon: only games against sides at Juventud Torremolinos CF's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADA 8 of 10 (80%) · JUV 3 of 6 (50%)68.3%

AD Alcorcon: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventud Torremolinos CF: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · AD Alcorcon: only games against sides at Juventud Torremolinos CF's level · Juventud Torremolinos CF: only games against sides at AD Alcorcon's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADA 7 of 10 (70%) · JUV 6 of 7 (86%)77.9%

AD Alcorcon's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventud Torremolinos CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · AD Alcorcon: only games against sides at Juventud Torremolinos CF's level · Juventud Torremolinos CF: only games against sides at AD Alcorcon's level

Left off the list: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the numbers (48%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.8%

AD Alcorcon goals →

Juventud Torremolinos… goals ↓

0-09%

1-013%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-25%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AD ALCORCONWLLWDDDDWW1.60 PPG

JUVENTUD TORREMOLINOS CFDWWLLDLLLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AD ALCORCON HOMExJUVENTUD TORREMOLINOS CF AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.8030%CLEAN SHEETS20%20%FAILED TO SCORE40%4.80CORNERS A GAME4.572.20CARDS A GAME2.43

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.80POINTS A GAME0.20+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00+5.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.25LEAGUE GAMES5

AD Alcorcon: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

AD ALCORCON 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AD ALCORCON OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

JUVENTUD TORREMOLINOS CF OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AD ALCORCONxJUVENTUD TORREMOLINOS CF

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME2.202.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

AD ALCORCON 0 · 0%DRAW 1JUVENTUD TORREMOLINOS CF 1 · 50%

2025-09-20AD Alcorcon 1 – 1 Juventud Torremolinos CF

2026-03-08AD Alcorcon 0 – 1 Juventud Torremolinos CF

TRENDS

AD Alcorcon have scored in 80% of their games.

Juventud Torremolinos CF have scored in 70% of their games.

AD Alcorcon kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Juventud Torremolinos CF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards