Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 6. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal da Malata, Ferrol. The referee is F. Roman.
What's at stake. Racing Club de Ferrol are 12th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Zamora, 2 points clear of Real Avilés. A win would take them above Zamora. Pontevedra CF are 6th on 8 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Mirandes, level on points with Deportivo La Coruña II. A win would take them above Mirandes.
Form. Racing Club de Ferrol have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Pontevedra CF have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W.
The numbers. Racing Club de Ferrol score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Racing Club de Ferrol average 11.6 shots (3.6 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Pontevedra CF score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pontevedra CF average 7.0 shots (2.9 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Racing Club de Ferrol have won three, drawn two and lost two. Two of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Racing Club de Ferrol won two, one was drawn and Pontevedra CF won one. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Racing Club de Ferrol 0-0 Pontevedra CF.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Pontevedra CF or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Pontevedra CF or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Pontevedra CF 1UP (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Racing Club de Ferrol 1-1 Pontevedra CF (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).