Match details. 2. Division A, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Tanta Stadium.
What's at stake. Tanta FC are 10th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with El Mansura, 1 point clear of El Entag EL Harby. A win would take them above El Mansura. Haras El Hodood are 2nd on 14 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Masar, level on points with Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat. A win would take them above Masar.
Form. Tanta FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Haras El Hodood have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.
The numbers. Tanta FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Tanta FC average 7.7 shots (3.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Haras El Hodood score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Haras El Hodood average 7.7 shots (2.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Tanta FC have won none, drawn one and lost three. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 29 Apr 2024, it finished Tanta FC 0-1 Haras El Hodood.
The read. Haras El Hodood to win. A tight game. Haras El Hodood are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Haras El Hodood; the meetings favour Haras El Hodood. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Haras El Hodood at 1.25, 84% on the records (Haras El Hodood unbeaten in 6 of 6; Tanta FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Leave: Haras El Hodood or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Haras El Hodood or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tanta FC 0-1 Haras El Hodood (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).