RMREA

20:15Fri 2 Oct

ATL

Real Madrid Castilla vs Atletico Madrid B

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 6. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 20:15 Lagos time. The referee is D. Lopez Jimenez.

What's at stake. Real Madrid Castilla are 14th on 5 points after 5 games, level on points with FC Cartagena, level on points with Águilas. A win would take them above FC Cartagena. Atletico Madrid B are 7th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Hércules, level on points with Antequera. A win would take them above Hércules.

Form. Real Madrid Castilla have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. Atletico Madrid B have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D.

The numbers. Real Madrid Castilla score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Real Madrid Castilla average 12.2 shots (3.7 on target), 7.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Atletico Madrid B score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Atletico Madrid B average 11.9 shots (6.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings Real Madrid Castilla have won two, drawn three and lost two. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, three were drawn and Atletico Madrid B won one. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2025, it finished Real Madrid Castilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid B.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Real Madrid Castilla's record still gives them 22% to win.

The read. Atletico Madrid B to win. Their goals for and against make Atletico Madrid B the likelier winners; Atletico Madrid B are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Real Madrid Castilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid B (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Atletico Madrid B or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 7 of 8 (88%) · ATL 7 of 8 (88%)90.6%

Atletico Madrid B: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid Castilla: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 7 of 8 (88%) · ATL 7 of 8 (88%)90.6%

Real Madrid Castilla: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 7 of 8 (88%) · ATL 7 of 8 (88%)90.6%

Real Madrid Castilla: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

REA 6 of 8 (75%) · ATL 7 of 8 (88%)85.9%

Real Madrid Castilla: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 6 of 8 (75%) · ATL 7 of 8 (88%)85.9%

Real Madrid Castilla: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

REA 5 of 8 (62%) · ATL 5 of 8 (62%)67.7%

Real Madrid Castilla: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 6 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

REAL MADRID CASTILLA GOALS

Real Madrid Castilla Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.10

REA 5 of 8 (62%) · ATL 4 of 8 (50%)54.7%

Real Madrid Castilla scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 3 of 6 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

ATLETICO MADRID B GOALS

Atletico Madrid B Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.37

REA 7 of 8 (88%) · ATL 6 of 8 (75%)85.9%

Atletico Madrid B scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid Castilla conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 7 of 8 (88%) · ATL 7 of 8 (88%)86.5%

Real Madrid Castilla: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

CORNERS

Over 9.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 6 of 7 (86%) · ATL 5 of 8 (62%)74.1%

Real Madrid Castilla's games: over 9.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B's games: over 9.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.6%

Real Madrid Castilla goals →

Atletico Madrid B goals ↓

0-06%

1-06%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-210%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.7%

1-50.8%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

REAL MADRID CASTILLALDDWLDWLDL1.00 PPG

ATLETICO MADRID BWLWDLDWWDL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

REAL MADRID CASTILLA HOMExATLETICO MADRID B AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.701.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS40%40%FAILED TO SCORE20%7.78CORNERS A GAME4.441.67CARDS A GAME2.44

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.60+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.61.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.65LEAGUE GAMES5

Atletico Madrid B: the quality side - more points a game.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

39%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

REAL MADRID CASTILLA OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

ATLETICO MADRID B OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

REAL MADRID CASTILLAxATLETICO MADRID B

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.600.80CONCEDED A GAME1.001.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7

REAL MADRID CASTILLA 2 · 29%DRAW 3ATLETICO MADRID B 2 · 29%

5 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-11-30Real Madrid Castilla 0 – 2 Atletico Madrid B

2020-12-13Real Madrid Castilla 2 – 1 Atletico Madrid B

2021-03-14Real Madrid Castilla 3 – 1 Atletico Madrid B

2023-09-16Real Madrid Castilla 2 – 2 Atletico Madrid B

2024-03-17Real Madrid Castilla 0 – 2 Atletico Madrid B

2024-11-02Real Madrid Castilla 1 – 1 Atletico Madrid B

2025-04-12Real Madrid Castilla 1 – 1 Atletico Madrid B

TRENDS

Real Madrid Castilla have scored in 70% of their games.

Atletico Madrid B have scored in 70% of their games.

Real Madrid Castilla kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Atletico Madrid B kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards