Al Gharafa SC vs Al Mesaimeer
Match details. QSL Cup, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha.
Form. Al Gharafa SC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Al Mesaimeer have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. In this competition Al Mesaimeer have gone L.
The numbers. Al Gharafa SC score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Al Gharafa SC average 11.0 shots (4.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Al Mesaimeer score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Al Mesaimeer average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The case against. Al Mesaimeer's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Al Gharafa SC to win. Their goals for and against make Al Gharafa SC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Al Gharafa SC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Al Gharafa SC 1-0 Al Mesaimeer (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).