Madla vs Viking FK
Match details. Madla host Viking FK at the Madla Handelslag Stadion in Hafrsfjord for this NM Cup Round of 64 tie. Kick-off is set for Thu 1 Oct at 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is a simple one-off game, with penalties deciding the winner if everything is level at the end of normal time.
Form. Madla are in fantastic nick, winning seven, drawing three and losing none of their last ten matches to average 2.4 points a game. Their last five outings read W D W W W. Viking FK are also playing well with six wins, two draws and two defeats from their last ten, picking up 2.0 points a game. In this competition, Viking FK have gone W.
The numbers. Madla score 3.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, keeping one clean sheet. They average 14.4 shots with 7.8 on target, 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Viking FK score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. They average 12.8 shots with 5.5 on target, 6.7 corners and 1.6 cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree on this one. The odds board makes it 5% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Madla are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Madla the likelier winners, as they are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Madla, while their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Viking FK or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Madla); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Madla 2-1 Viking FK (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).