Umeaa FC Akademi vs IFK Umea
Match details. Division 2, Norrland - Relegation Round. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Nolia, Umea.
What's at stake. Umeaa FC Akademi are 5th on 11 points after 12 games, 6 points behind IFK Östersund. IFK Umea are 7th on 4 points after 12 games, 7 points behind Umea FF. It is played over two legs.
Form. Umeaa FC Akademi have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Umeaa FC Akademi have gone L W W W W L. IFK Umea have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition IFK Umea have gone L D L L L L.
The numbers. Umeaa FC Akademi score 2.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. IFK Umea score 1.3 and concede 2.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Umeaa FC Akademi have won three, drawn one and lost none. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 26 Aug 2026, it finished Umeaa FC Akademi 5-1 IFK Umea.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 80% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Umeaa FC Akademi are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Umeaa FC Akademi the likelier winners; Umeaa FC Akademi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Umeaa FC Akademi; the meetings favour Umeaa FC Akademi. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 84%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 3.5 Goals at 1.63, 75% on the records (Umeaa FC Akademi: over 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; IFK Umea: over 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Umeaa FC Akademi 2-1 IFK Umea (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).