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SOUTH AFRICA - MTN 8
Orlando Pirates FC crestOPORL
17:00Sat 10 Oct
MAMMamelodi Sundowns crestMS

Orlando Pirates FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns

CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
81
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Orlando Pirates FC crestOPvMamelodi Sundowns crestMS
Under 3.5 Goals
Orlando Pirates FC v Mamelodi Sundowns
South Africa - MTN 8 · 17:00
1.21odds
83%book
-2edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. MTN 8, Final. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Moses Mabhida Stadium, Durban, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Orlando Pirates FC have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Orlando Pirates FC have gone W W. Mamelodi Sundowns have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Mamelodi Sundowns have gone W L.

The numbers. Orlando Pirates FC score 2.1 and concede 0.2 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets. Orlando Pirates FC average 12.8 shots (5.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Mamelodi Sundowns average 16.7 shots (6.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 66% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Orlando Pirates FC have won two, drawn three and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Orlando Pirates FC won one, two were drawn and Mamelodi Sundowns won one. The last time they met, on 18 Feb 2026, it finished Orlando Pirates FC 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns: Orlando Pirates FC had 7 shots to 8, 38% of the ball, six yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 81% on the records (Orlando Pirates FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6; Mamelodi Sundowns: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.33. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Orlando Pirates FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Orlando Pirates FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Orlando Pirates FC or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Orlando Pirates FC 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORL 6 of 6 (100%) · MAM 6 of 7 (86%)97.2%
Orlando Pirates FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mamelodi Sundowns: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 6 of 6 · Orlando Pirates FC: only games against sides at Mamelodi Sundowns's level · Mamelodi Sundowns: only games against sides at Orlando Pirates FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.21
ORL 5 of 6 (83%) · MAM 6 of 7 (86%)80.6%
Orlando Pirates FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mamelodi Sundowns: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Orlando Pirates FC: only games against sides at Mamelodi Sundowns's level · Mamelodi Sundowns: only games against sides at Orlando Pirates FC's level
ORLANDO PIRATES FC GOALS
Orlando Pirates FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
ORL 6 of 6 (100%) · MAM 4 of 7 (57%)64.1%
Orlando Pirates FC scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mamelodi Sundowns conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · Orlando Pirates FC: only games against sides at Mamelodi Sundowns's level · Mamelodi Sundowns: only games against sides at Orlando Pirates FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.33
ORL 5 of 6 (83%) · MAM 7 of 7 (100%)89.6%
Orlando Pirates FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mamelodi Sundowns: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Orlando Pirates FC: only games against sides at Mamelodi Sundowns's level · Mamelodi Sundowns: only games against sides at Orlando Pirates FC's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
ORL 5 of 6 (83%) · MAM 6 of 7 (86%)69%
Orlando Pirates FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mamelodi Sundowns: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · Orlando Pirates FC: only games against sides at Mamelodi Sundowns's level · Mamelodi Sundowns: only games against sides at Orlando Pirates FC's level
Left off the list: Orlando Pirates FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Orlando Pirates FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Orlando Pirates FC or Both Teams Score (no result call); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Orlando Pirates FC or Mamelodi Sundowns (no result call); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Orlando Pirates FC or Draw (no result call); Orlando Pirates FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Orlando Pirates FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 14%
Orlando Pirates FC goals →
Mamelodi Sundowns goals ↓
0-011%
1-010%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-112%
1-114%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-28%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
ORLANDO PIRATES FCDWWWWWDWWW2.60 PPG
MAMELODI SUNDOWNSDWLWWWWWDW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ORLANDO PIRATES FC HOMExMAMELODI SUNDOWNS AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME2.100.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9080%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.75CORNERS A GAME5.331.00CARDS A GAME2.331.51xG1.920.91xG AGAINST0.62
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
ORLANDO PIRATES FC 2 · 25%DRAW 3MAMELODI SUNDOWNS 3 · 38%
7 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-09-20Orlando Pirates FC 0 – 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
2024-02-17Orlando Pirates FC 1 – 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
2024-06-01Orlando Pirates FC 2 – 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
2025-02-08Orlando Pirates FC 1 – 4 Mamelodi Sundowns
2025-03-16Orlando Pirates FC 2 – 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
2025-08-16Orlando Pirates FC 1 – 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
2025-11-01Orlando Pirates FC 1 – 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
2026-02-18Orlando Pirates FC 1 – 2 Mamelodi Sundowns
TRENDS
Orlando Pirates FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Mamelodi Sundowns have scored in 90% of their games.
Orlando Pirates FC failed to score in 0% of their games.
Mamelodi Sundowns failed to score in 33% of their games.
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