Match details. MTN 8, Final. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Moses Mabhida Stadium, Durban, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Orlando Pirates FC have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Orlando Pirates FC have gone W W. Mamelodi Sundowns have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Mamelodi Sundowns have gone W L.
The numbers. Orlando Pirates FC score 2.1 and concede 0.2 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets. Orlando Pirates FC average 12.8 shots (5.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Mamelodi Sundowns average 16.7 shots (6.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 66% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Orlando Pirates FC have won two, drawn three and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Orlando Pirates FC won one, two were drawn and Mamelodi Sundowns won one. The last time they met, on 18 Feb 2026, it finished Orlando Pirates FC 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns: Orlando Pirates FC had 7 shots to 8, 38% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 81% on the records (Orlando Pirates FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6; Mamelodi Sundowns: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.33. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Orlando Pirates FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Orlando Pirates FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Orlando Pirates FC or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Orlando Pirates FC 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).