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Stuttgart vs Greuther Furth

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Stuttgart host Greuther Furth at the MHPArena in an international friendly. Kick-off is scheduled for Thu 1 Oct at 16:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Since this is a friendly match, there are no points riding on the result.

Form. Stuttgart have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.4 points a game. Greuther Furth have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.2 points a game.

The numbers. Stuttgart score 2.1 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, keeping one clean sheet and failing to score in two games. Greuther Furth score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Stuttgart have won four, drawn one and lost three. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Stuttgart won two, one was drawn and Greuther Furth won one. Their last meeting on 8 Jan 2022 finished Stuttgart 0-0 Greuther Furth, with Stuttgart having 17 shots to 10, 61% of the ball and one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%, but six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and for me those meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records also put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Stuttgart or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Stuttgart 1-1 Greuther Furth (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 8 of 10 (80%) · GRE 8 of 10 (80%)77%
Stuttgart: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greuther Furth: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6
Under 4.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.32
STU 7 of 10 (70%) · GRE 8 of 10 (80%)67.5%
Stuttgart: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greuther Furth: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6
STUTTGART GOALS
Stuttgart Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 8 of 10 (80%) · GRE 8 of 10 (80%)75.9%
Stuttgart scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greuther Furth conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6
GREUTHER FURTH GOALS
Greuther Furth Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.52
STU 8 of 10 (80%) · GRE 9 of 10 (90%)73%
Greuther Furth scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stuttgart conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 8 of 10 (80%) · GRE 8 of 10 (80%)76.7%
Stuttgart: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greuther Furth: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Stuttgart or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Stuttgart Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (54%) and the records (46%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Stuttgart or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 9.5%
Stuttgart goals →
Greuther Furth goals ↓
0-03%
1-05%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-14%
1-110%
2-18%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-33%
1-35%
2-34%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.4%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.5%
5-40.2%
0-50.4%
1-50.7%
2-50.6%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
STUTTGARTDWDLWLWWLL1.40 PPG
GREUTHER FURTHWLWDLLWLDD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
STUTTGART HOMExGREUTHER FURTH AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.501.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS20%12%FAILED TO SCORE43%
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 85/90
STUTTGART OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
GREUTHER FURTH OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
STUTTGART 4 · 50%DRAW 1GREUTHER FURTH 3 · 38%
1 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2012-12-01Stuttgart 1 – 0 Greuther Furth
2013-05-04Stuttgart 0 – 2 Greuther Furth
2016-10-03Stuttgart 4 – 0 Greuther Furth
2017-03-18Stuttgart 0 – 1 Greuther Furth
2019-09-21Stuttgart 2 – 0 Greuther Furth
2020-02-29Stuttgart 0 – 2 Greuther Furth
2021-08-14Stuttgart 5 – 1 Greuther Furth
2022-01-08Stuttgart 0 – 0 Greuther Furth
TRENDS
Stuttgart have scored in 80% of their games.
Greuther Furth have scored in 80% of their games.
Stuttgart kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Greuther Furth kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head
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