Match details. Uzbekistan take on Syria in an international friendly. Kick-off is scheduled for Thu 1 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. This is a friendly match, so there are no points on the line.
Form. Uzbekistan have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.5 points a game. Their recent form is a bit shaky, going L L L D W in their last five. Syria look stronger, winning seven, drawing two and losing just one of their last ten for an average of 2.3 points. Their last five games ended W L D D W.
The numbers. Uzbekistan have been solid at home, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 a game in their last five, keeping three clean sheets. They average 10.7 shots, with 4.1 on target, 6.1 corners and 1.6 cards while holding 38% of the ball. Syria are even tighter on the road, scoring two a game and conceding just 0.2 in their last five away matches, keeping four clean sheets.
Head to head. Over their last three meetings, both sides have won one and drawn one. None of those three games saw over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in none of them. The last clash, on 13 Jan 2024, ended in a 0-0 draw where Uzbekistan dominated with 14 shots to seven and 66% of the ball, but only picked up two yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side in this one. Their goals for and against records point to a very tight match, and their numbers put the chance of over 2.5 goals at just 30%. Three of the last three meetings between these two went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 77% on the records (Uzbekistan: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Syria: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Uzbekistan or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Uzbekistan 1-1 Syria (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).