Match details. NM Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It's a single match. If it ends level we go to penalties.
Form. Hoenefoss BK have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game, with a recent run of W W D W W. In this competition they have gone W. KFUM Oslo have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game, their last five being W W L L W, and they have also gone W in this competition.
The numbers. At home Hoenefoss BK score 3.4 and concede one a game in their last five, with no clean sheets. Away, KFUM Oslo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six, keeping two clean sheets.
Head to head. The last time they met on 24 May 2023, Hoenefoss BK lost 1-4 to KFUM Oslo.
Where it pulls both ways. The odds board makes it 18% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: Hoenefoss BK are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Hoenefoss BK the likelier winners; Hoenefoss BK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hoenefoss BK. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: KFUM Oslo or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Hoenefoss BK); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hoenefoss BK 2-1 KFUM Oslo (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).