DRDOM

01:00Fri 2 Oct

HAI

HAI

Dominican Republic vs Haiti

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. This is a CONCACAF Nations League League A, 1 clash. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It's at Félix Sánchez Olympic Stadium in Santo Domingo.

Form. Dominican Republic have six wins, one draw and three losses in their last ten, about 1.9 points a game. Their last five are W W D L L. Haiti have five wins, one draw and four defeats in their last ten, roughly 1.6 points a game. Their last five are W W L L L.

The numbers. At home Dominican Republic score 3.8 and concede 0.6 in the last five, with three clean sheets. They average 14.6 shots, 4.5 on target, 2.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Away Haiti score 1.6 and concede 2.6 in their last five, with one clean sheet and two goalless games. They average 8.5 shots, 3.2 on target, 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

The case against. Haiti's record still gives them 22% to win.

The read. Dominican Republic to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Dominican Republic the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Dominican Republic. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Haiti or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Dominican Republic); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Haiti or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Dominican Republic). Predicted score: Dominican Republic 2-1 Haiti (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Dominican Republic or HaitiIN CODES

1.26

DOM 4 of 5 (80%) · HAI 4 of 5 (80%)74.1%

Dominican Republic: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Haiti: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · each game weighed by who it was against

Dominican Republic or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.35

DOM 4 of 5 (80%) · HAI 5 of 5 (100%)72.9%

Dominican Republic: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Haiti: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

DOM 4 of 5 (80%) · HAI 5 of 5 (100%)72.9%

Dominican Republic: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Haiti: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.58

DOM 4 of 5 (80%) · HAI 5 of 5 (100%)72.9%

Dominican Republic: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Haiti: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

DOM 4 of 5 (80%) · HAI 5 of 5 (100%)69%

Dominican Republic: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Haiti: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DOM 3 of 5 (60%) · HAI 3 of 5 (60%)74.7%

Dominican Republic's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 at home · Haiti's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Haiti or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Dominican Republic); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Haiti or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Dominican Republic); Dominican Republic or Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (92%) and the records (69%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (95%) and the records (69%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

Dominican Republic goals →

Haiti goals ↓

0-05%

1-08%

2-09%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-25%

2-25%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.9%

0-30.9%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.7%

5-30.3%

0-40.2%

1-40.5%

2-40.5%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

DOMINICAN REPUBLICWWDLLWLWWW1.90 PPG

HAITIWWLLLWWLWD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HOMExHAITI AWAY

3.20SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.6030%CLEAN SHEETS40%2.00CORNERS A GAME4.502.40CARDS A GAME2.20

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC OR DRAW (1UP)

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137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Dominican Republic have scored in 90% of their games.

Haiti have scored in 70% of their games.

Dominican Republic kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Haiti kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards