SEYSEY

14:00Wed 30 Sep

SRI

Seychelles vs Sri Lanka

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Seychelles have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Sri Lanka have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.

The numbers. Seychelles score 0.4 and concede 3.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and seven games without a goal. Seychelles average 3.2 shots (0.7 on target), 1.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Sri Lanka score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sri Lanka average 2.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

The case against. Seychelles's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. Sri Lanka to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sri Lanka the likelier winners; Sri Lanka are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sri Lanka. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Seychelles 1-2 Sri Lanka (10% chance).

The agreed story. Sri Lanka or the draw, an open game.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Sri Lanka or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.48

SRI 3 of 5 (60%) · SEY 9 of 10 (90%)76.2%

Sri Lanka: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Seychelles: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against

Sri Lanka win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.27

SRI 3 of 5 (60%) · SEY 9 of 10 (90%)72.9%

Sri Lanka: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Seychelles: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · each game weighed by who it was against

SRI LANKA GOALS

Sri Lanka Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.28

SRI 3 of 5 (60%) · SEY 9 of 10 (90%)71.9%

Sri Lanka scored in 3 of 5 away · Seychelles conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.15

SEY 9 of 10 (90%) · SRI 5 of 5 (100%)94.8%

Seychelles: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sri Lanka: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.29

SEY 9 of 10 (90%) · SRI 4 of 5 (80%)83.6%

Seychelles: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sri Lanka: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.47

SEY 9 of 10 (90%) · SRI 4 of 5 (80%)81.3%

Seychelles: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sri Lanka: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 77% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.8%

Seychelles goals →

Sri Lanka goals ↓

0-05%

1-03%

2-02%

3-00.5%

4-00.1%

5-00.0%

0-19%

1-19%

2-14%

3-11%

4-10.3%

5-10.0%

0-211%

1-210%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-38%

1-37%

2-33%

3-31.0%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-45%

1-44%

2-42%

3-40.6%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-52%

1-52%

2-50.8%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SEYCHELLESLLLLLLLLDL0.10 PPG

SRI LANKALDDDLWWLLW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SEYCHELLES HOMExSRI LANKA AWAY

0.40SCORED A GAME1.003.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS20%1.17CORNERS A GAME2.332.40CARDS A GAME1.33

TRENDS

Seychelles have scored in 30% of their games.

Sri Lanka have scored in 60% of their games.

Seychelles kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Sri Lanka kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards