PNPNG

05:00Wed 30 Sep

SOL

Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at HFC Bank Stadium, Suva.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Papua New Guinea have won two, drawn three and lost four of their last nine, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. Solomon Islands have won four, drawn none and lost five of their last nine, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.

The numbers. Papua New Guinea score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Solomon Islands score 1.8 and concede three a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Papua New Guinea have won one, drawn none and lost four. Five of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Solomon Islands won four. The last time they met, on 17 Nov 2024, it finished Papua New Guinea 1-2 Solomon Islands.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Papua New Guinea the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Solomon Islands; the meetings favour Solomon Islands.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%. Five of the last five meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Papua New Guinea 2-2 Solomon Islands (6% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Solomon Islands the favourite), an open game.

PICKSONE LIST

SOLOMON ISLANDS GOALS

Solomon Islands Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.31

SOL 4 of 5 (80%) · PNG 7 of 7 (100%)92.5%

Solomon Islands scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Papua New Guinea conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 5 · Solomon Islands: only games against sides at Papua New Guinea's level · Papua New Guinea: only games against sides at Solomon Islands's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.27

PNG 5 of 6 (83%) · SOL 4 of 5 (80%)81.3%

Papua New Guinea: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Solomon Islands: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · Papua New Guinea: only games against sides at Solomon Islands's level · Solomon Islands: only games against sides at Papua New Guinea's level

Left off the list: Solomon Islands or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Solomon Islands or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Solomon Islands win or both teams score (no result call); Papua New Guinea or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 6.4%

Papua New Guinea goals →

Solomon Islands goals ↓

0-01%

1-02%

2-03%

3-03%

4-02%

5-01%

0-11%

1-15%

2-16%

3-16%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-24%

2-26%

3-26%

4-24%

5-22%

0-31%

1-33%

2-34%

3-34%

4-33%

5-32%

0-40.5%

1-42%

2-42%

3-42%

4-41%

5-40.8%

0-50.2%

1-50.6%

2-50.9%

3-50.8%

4-50.6%

5-50.3%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 9

PAPUA NEW GUINEAWDLLDWLDL1.00 PPG

SOLOMON ISLANDSWWWLLLWLL1.33 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PAPUA NEW GUINEA HOMExSOLOMON ISLANDS AWAY

1.44SCORED A GAME1.782.00CONCEDED A GAME3.0014%CLEAN SHEETS11%

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

PAPUA NEW GUINEA 1 · 20%DRAW 0SOLOMON ISLANDS 4 · 80%

5 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-06-08Papua New Guinea 2 – 1 Solomon Islands

2017-06-09Papua New Guinea 2 – 3 Solomon Islands

2017-06-13Papua New Guinea 1 – 2 Solomon Islands

2022-03-27Papua New Guinea 2 – 3 Solomon Islands

2024-11-17Papua New Guinea 1 – 2 Solomon Islands

TRENDS

Papua New Guinea have scored in 86% of their games.

Solomon Islands have scored in 78% of their games.

Papua New Guinea kept a clean sheet in 14% of their games.

Solomon Islands kept a clean sheet in 11% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head