Match details. 2. Liga. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Triglav Kranj have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. NK Jesenice have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Triglav Kranj score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Triglav Kranj average 10.4 shots (5.0 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game. NK Jesenice score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Jesenice average 12.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Triglav Kranj 1-2 NK Jesenice (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).