Match details. Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein, Schleswig-Holstein - 7. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 18:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Mtsv Hohenwestedt are 14th on 7 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Kaltenkirchen, level on points with Lübeck II. A win would take them above Kaltenkirchen. Eckernforder SV are 16th on 6 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Lübeck II. A win would take them above Lübeck II.
Form. Mtsv Hohenwestedt have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D. Eckernforder SV have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Mtsv Hohenwestedt score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Eckernforder SV score 1.7 and concede 3.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Mtsv Hohenwestedt have won two, drawn one and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2025, it finished Mtsv Hohenwestedt 2-0 Eckernforder SV.
The case against. Eckernforder SV's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Mtsv Hohenwestedt to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Mtsv Hohenwestedt the likelier winners; Mtsv Hohenwestedt are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mtsv Hohenwestedt. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.13, rated 83% (Mtsv Hohenwestedt: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Eckernforder SV: over 2.5 goals in 10 of 10). Predicted score: Mtsv Hohenwestedt 2-1 Eckernforder SV (7% chance).
The agreed story. Mtsv Hohenwestedt or the draw, an open game.
The league run. Eckernforder SV: up and down in the league (L W L L L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).