Marbella FC vs Betis Deportivo Balompie
Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Marbella FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. Betis Deportivo Balompie have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. Marbella FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Marbella FC average 11.6 shots (5.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.6 cards a game. Betis Deportivo Balompie score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Betis Deportivo Balompie average 11.2 shots (4.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The case against. Marbella FC's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Betis Deportivo Balompie to win. An open game. Betis Deportivo Balompie are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Betis Deportivo Balompie. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Betis Deportivo Balompie at 1.34, 71% on the records (Betis Deportivo Balompie unbeaten in 5 of 6 away; Marbella FC failed to win 3 of 6 at home). Leave: Betis Deportivo Balompie or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Betis Deportivo Balompie or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Betis Deportivo Balompie 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Marbella FC 1-2 Betis Deportivo Balompie (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).