Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico Madrid C have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. UB Conquense have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.
The numbers. Atletico Madrid C score 2.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Atletico Madrid C average 8.0 shots (2.3 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. UB Conquense score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. UB Conquense average 10.1 shots (4.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. UB Conquense's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Atletico Madrid C to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Madrid C the likelier winners; Atletico Madrid C are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Madrid C. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Atletico Madrid C or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Atletico Madrid C or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Atletico Madrid C 1-0 UB Conquense (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Atletico Madrid C or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · UBC 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
Atletico Madrid C scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · UB Conquense trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 away · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
Atletico Madrid C or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · UBC 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Atletico Madrid C: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · UB Conquense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
Atletico Madrid C or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · UBC 3 of 5 (60%)81.7%
Atletico Madrid C: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · UB Conquense: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
Atletico Madrid C 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · UBC 4 of 5 (80%)66.7%
Atletico Madrid C scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · UB Conquense trailed in 2 of 5 away · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
Atletico Madrid C (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
2.25
ATL 6 of 8 (75%) · UBC 2 of 7 (29%)51.8%
Atletico Madrid C won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · UB Conquense lost 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 52% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · UBC 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Atletico Madrid C: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · UB Conquense: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · UBC 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Atletico Madrid C: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · UB Conquense: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · UBC 3 of 5 (60%)55%
Atletico Madrid C: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · UB Conquense: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 45% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
ATLETICO MADRID C GOALS
Atletico Madrid C Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · UBC 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Atletico Madrid C scored in 5 of 5 at home · UB Conquense conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
UB CONQUENSE GOALS
UB Conquense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · UBC 3 of 5 (60%)70%
UB Conquense scored in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Madrid C conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · UBC 3 of 5 (60%)80.4%
Atletico Madrid C's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · UB Conquense's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 81% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid C's level
Left off the list: Atletico Madrid C or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Atletico Madrid C or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.5%
Atletico Madrid C goals →
UB Conquense goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO MADRID CDWWWLDWLWW2.00 PPG
UB CONQUENSEWWDDLLDWWW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO MADRID C HOMExUB CONQUENSE AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.101.00CONCEDED A GAME0.8030%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.14CORNERS A GAME4.252.57CARDS A GAME2.50
TRENDS
Atletico Madrid C have scored in 80% of their games.
UB Conquense have scored in 70% of their games.
Atletico Madrid C kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
UB Conquense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards