Atletico Sanluqueno vs CP Mijas-Las Lagunas
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio El Palmar.
What's at stake. Atletico Sanluqueno are 12th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with Marbella, 1 point clear of Puente Genil. A win would take them above Marbella. CP Mijas-Las Lagunas are 10th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with Ciudad de Lucena, level on points with Marbella. A win would take them above Ciudad de Lucena.
Form. Atletico Sanluqueno have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D. CP Mijas-Las Lagunas have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D.
The numbers. Atletico Sanluqueno score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Atletico Sanluqueno average 6.5 shots (2.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CP Mijas-Las Lagunas score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CP Mijas-Las Lagunas average 8.8 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Atletico Sanluqueno 1-1 CP Mijas-Las Lagunas (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).