Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. UD Tamaraceite have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. CA Antoniano have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D.
The numbers. UD Tamaraceite score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. UD Tamaraceite average 6.3 shots (2.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.7 cards a game. CA Antoniano score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Antoniano average 7.5 shots (3.6 on target), 3.0 corners and 4.4 cards a game.
The case against. CA Antoniano's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. UD Tamaraceite to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make UD Tamaraceite the likelier winners; both teams' records favour UD Tamaraceite. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Tamaraceite 1-0 CA Antoniano (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).