Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Xerez have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D. CD Tenerife B have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. CD Xerez score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Xerez average 8.9 shots (2.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CD Tenerife B score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. CD Tenerife B average 13.1 shots (6.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: CD Tenerife B or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); CD Tenerife B or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: CD Xerez 1-1 CD Tenerife B (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).