Sevilla Atletico vs CD Badajoz
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 10:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jesus Navas, Sevilla.
What's at stake. Sevilla Atletico are 5th on 7 points after 4 games, 2 points behind Recreativo Huelva, level on points with Badajoz. A win would take them above Recreativo Huelva. CD Badajoz are 6th on 7 points after 4 games, level on points with Sevilla Atletico, level on points with Estepona. A win would take them above Sevilla Atletico.
Form. Sevilla Atletico have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. CD Badajoz have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.
The numbers. Sevilla Atletico score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Sevilla Atletico average 8.3 shots (3.4 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD Badajoz score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Badajoz average 13.3 shots (4.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Sevilla Atletico have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 19 Jan 2020, it finished Sevilla Atletico 1-1 CD Badajoz.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sevilla Atletico 1-1 CD Badajoz (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).