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SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
CD Estepona crestCECDE
18:00Sat 3 Oct
CDDCD Don Benito crestCD

CD Estepona vs CD Don Benito

CLASS E
Pick cardFull analysisShare
THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

Form. CD Estepona have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. CD Don Benito have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.

The numbers. CD Estepona score 1.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. CD Estepona average 11.6 shots (5.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.8 cards a game. CD Don Benito score one and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Don Benito average 10.0 shots (3.5 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Don Benito or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Don Benito or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Don Benito or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Estepona 1-1 CD Don Benito (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 8 of 8 (100%) · CDD 6 of 6 (100%)98.3%
CD Estepona: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Don Benito: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at CD Don Benito's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 6 of 8 (75%) · CDD 6 of 6 (100%)85.8%
CD Estepona: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Don Benito: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 82% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at CD Don Benito's level
CD DON BENITO GOALS
CD Don Benito Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 6 (67%) · CDD 6 of 8 (75%)73.1%
CD Don Benito scored in 4 of 6 away · CD Estepona conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at CD Don Benito's level
Left off the list: CD Don Benito or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Don Benito or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CD Don Benito or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.9%
CD Estepona goals →
CD Don Benito goals ↓
0-010%
1-010%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CD ESTEPONAWWWDDWDLWL1.80 PPG
CD DON BENITOWWWLWDWWDW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD ESTEPONA HOMExCD DON BENITO AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.901.40CONCEDED A GAME0.4020%CLEAN SHEETS60%4.40CORNERS A GAME2.003.80CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD ESTEPONA OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
CD DON BENITO OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
CD Estepona have scored in 90% of their games.
CD Don Benito have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Estepona kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CD Don Benito kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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