RSD Alcala SAD vs CDA Navalcarnero
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. RSD Alcala SAD are 9th on 6 points after 4 games, level on points with Real Valladolid II, level on points with Real Ávila. A win would take them above Real Valladolid II. CDA Navalcarnero are 14th on 4 points after 4 games, level on points with Guadalajara, level on points with Calvo Sotelo. A win would take them above Guadalajara.
Form. RSD Alcala SAD have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. CDA Navalcarnero have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. RSD Alcala SAD score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. RSD Alcala SAD average 10.6 shots (4.7 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.6 cards a game. CDA Navalcarnero score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CDA Navalcarnero average 10.2 shots (3.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings RSD Alcala SAD have won two, drawn none and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished RSD Alcala SAD 1-0 CDA Navalcarnero.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: RSD Alcala SAD 1-1 CDA Navalcarnero (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).