ITALY - SERIE C, GROUP B
16:30Sat 3 Oct
USS
US
US Grosseto vs US Sambenedettese
CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
80
1UP
Class E
US Grosseto 1UP
US Grosseto v US Sambenedettese
1.43odds
70%book
+10edge
1/1angles
THE READ
Match details. Serie C, Group B. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. US Grosseto have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. US Sambenedettese have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.
The numbers. US Grosseto score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. US Grosseto average 13.7 shots (5.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. US Sambenedettese score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. US Sambenedettese average 9.2 shots (3.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
The read. US Grosseto to win. An open game. US Grosseto are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Grosseto. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: US Grosseto 1UP at 1.42, 80% on the records (US Grosseto scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 5 of 7). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26 (87%). Leave: US Grosseto or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 1X2 - 2UP: US Grosseto (the signs point different ways); US Grosseto to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: US Grosseto 2-1 US Sambenedettese (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
US Grosseto or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.17
USG 6 of 7 (86%) · USS 8 of 8 (100%)94.7%
US Grosseto: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level
US Grosseto or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USG 6 of 7 (86%) · USS 8 of 8 (100%)94.7%
US Grosseto: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level
US Grosseto or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.32
USG 5 of 7 (71%) · USS 7 of 8 (88%)84.6%
US Grosseto: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level
US Grosseto 1UPMAININ CODES
1.43
USG 4 of 5 (80%) · USS 5 of 7 (71%)79.6%
US Grosseto scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese trailed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.26
USG 6 of 7 (86%) · USS 7 of 8 (88%)83.7%
US Grosseto: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level
US GROSSETO GOALS
US Grosseto Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
USG 6 of 7 (86%) · USS 8 of 8 (100%)94.7%
US Grosseto scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level
US SAMBENEDETTESE GOALS
US Sambenedettese Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.32
USG 5 of 8 (62%) · USS 6 of 7 (86%)80.6%
US Sambenedettese scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Grosseto conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.34
USG 6 of 7 (86%) · USS 6 of 8 (75%)80.4%
US Grosseto: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.43
USG 5 of 7 (71%) · USS 7 of 8 (88%)79.5%
US Grosseto: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USG 5 of 7 (71%) · USS 7 of 8 (88%)79.5%
US Grosseto's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · US Grosseto: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level
Left off the list: US Grosseto or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: US Grosseto (the numbers (45%) and the records (71%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); US Grosseto to Win (the numbers (43%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); US Grosseto to Win Either Half: Yes (the numbers (57%) and the records (80%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); US Grosseto (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (59%) and the records (84%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Double Chance: US Grosseto or Draw (the numbers (70%) and the records (94%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.1%
US Grosseto goals →
US Sambenedettese goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.6%
1-41.0%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
US GROSSETOWWDWWLDDWW2.10 PPG
US SAMBENEDETTESEWWDLDLLLDL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US GROSSETO HOMExUS SAMBENEDETTESE AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.7060%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.44CORNERS A GAME4.302.22CARDS A GAME3.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
US GROSSETO OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.33POINTS A GAME0.33+1.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.67+1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.82.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.26LEAGUE GAMES6
US Grosseto: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
US GROSSETO TO SCORE
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
US GROSSETO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
DOUBLE CHANCE: US GROSSETO OR DRAW
–
58 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
US GROSSETO 1UP
–
49 OF 55
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
US GROSSETO OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
US SAMBENEDETTESE OR DRAW
37%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
US GROSSETOxUS SAMBENEDETTESE
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME0.800.40CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.29.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
US Grosseto have scored in 90% of their games.
US Sambenedettese have scored in 90% of their games.
US Grosseto kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
US Sambenedettese kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards