FGFCG

06:00Sat 3 Oct

REN

FC Gifu vs Renofa Yamaguchi

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J3 League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field.

What's at stake. FC Gifu are 7th on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Nara Club, level on points with Biwako Shiga. A win would take them above Nara Club. Renofa Yamaguchi are 4th on 14 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Osaka, level on points with Roasso Kumamoto. A win would take them above Osaka.

Form. FC Gifu have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Renofa Yamaguchi have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.

The numbers. FC Gifu score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Gifu average 8.3 shots (3.7 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Renofa Yamaguchi average 13.1 shots (5.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings FC Gifu have won two, drawn three and lost three. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and Renofa Yamaguchi won two. The last time they met, on 6 Oct 2019, it finished FC Gifu 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi.

The case against. FC Gifu's record still gives them 26% to win.

The read. Renofa Yamaguchi to win. An open game. Renofa Yamaguchi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Renofa Yamaguchi. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Gifu 1-2 Renofa Yamaguchi (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.24

FCG 3 of 6 (50%) · REN 5 of 8 (62%)67.6%

FC Gifu: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Renofa Yamaguchi: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Gifu: only games against sides at Renofa Yamaguchi's level · Renofa Yamaguchi: only games against sides at FC Gifu's level

RENOFA YAMAGUCHI GOALS

Renofa Yamaguchi Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.29

FCG 6 of 8 (75%) · REN 5 of 6 (83%)82.7%

Renofa Yamaguchi scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gifu conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · Renofa Yamaguchi: only games against sides at FC Gifu's level · FC Gifu: only games against sides at Renofa Yamaguchi's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.34

FCG 4 of 6 (67%) · REN 7 of 8 (88%)78.6%

FC Gifu: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Renofa Yamaguchi: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Gifu: only games against sides at Renofa Yamaguchi's level · Renofa Yamaguchi: only games against sides at FC Gifu's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.5%

FC Gifu goals →

Renofa Yamaguchi goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-07%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC GIFUWDLWDLLLWL1.10 PPG

RENOFA YAMAGUCHILWLLDLWWWD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC GIFU HOMExRENOFA YAMAGUCHI AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS40%38%FAILED TO SCORE25%5.22CORNERS A GAME6.201.67CARDS A GAME1.40

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.62POINTS A GAME1.75+1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.28LEAGUE GAMES8

Renofa Yamaguchi: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

FC GIFU OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

RENOFA YAMAGUCHI OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC GIFUxRENOFA YAMAGUCHI

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.801.60CONCEDED A GAME0.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.413.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

FC GIFU 2 · 25%DRAW 3RENOFA YAMAGUCHI 3 · 38%

6 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

5 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-04-29FC Gifu 1 – 2 Renofa Yamaguchi

2016-09-25FC Gifu 3 – 2 Renofa Yamaguchi

2017-02-26FC Gifu 2 – 2 Renofa Yamaguchi

2017-09-16FC Gifu 1 – 0 Renofa Yamaguchi

2018-06-23FC Gifu 2 – 2 Renofa Yamaguchi

2018-10-07FC Gifu 1 – 4 Renofa Yamaguchi

2019-06-22FC Gifu 0 – 4 Renofa Yamaguchi

2019-10-06FC Gifu 1 – 1 Renofa Yamaguchi

TRENDS

FC Gifu have scored in 60% of their games.

Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Gifu kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Renofa Yamaguchi kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards