Faroe Islands vs Slovakia
Match details. Faroe Islands take on Slovakia in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off is on Fri 2 Oct at 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Faroe Islands have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, picking up 1.7 points a game. Their last five matches have gone D, D, W, L, L. Slovakia have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.9 points a game. Their recent form is W, W, L, L, W.
The numbers. Faroe Islands score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals a game in their last five at home, keeping one clean sheet. They average 9.4 shots, with 3.6 on target, 4.5 corners and 1.2 cards. Slovakia score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Slovakia average 11.7 shots, with 4.4 on target, 7.5 corners and 1.5 cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 77% on the records (Faroe Islands: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Slovakia: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Over 8.5 Corners at 1.67. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).