Match details. II Liga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Zawisza Bydgoszcz are 5th on 16 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Podhale Nowy Targ, level on points with Rekord Bielsko-Biała. A win would take them above Podhale Nowy Targ. Olimpia Grudziadz are 11th on 12 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Chojniczanka Chojnice, 1 point clear of Avia Świdnik. A win would take them above Chojniczanka Chojnice.
Form. Zawisza Bydgoszcz have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W. Olimpia Grudziadz have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.
The numbers. Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Zawisza Bydgoszcz average 14.4 shots (6.1 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Olimpia Grudziadz score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last eight away, with two clean sheets. Olimpia Grudziadz average 16.1 shots (5.7 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Zawisza Bydgoszcz have won one, drawn one and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 20 May 2023, it finished Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1-0 Olimpia Grudziadz.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Zawisza Bydgoszcz or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Zawisza Bydgoszcz or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).