Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 8. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Citta dell Aria, Guidonia Montecelio. The referee is G. Guitaldi.
What's at stake. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC are 11th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Forli, level on points with Atalanta II. A win would take them above Forli. ASD Pineto Calcio are 15th on 7 points after 7 games, level on points with Ostia Mare, level on points with Gubbio. A win would take them above Ostia Mare.
Form. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. ASD Pineto Calcio have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L.
The numbers. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC average 10.0 shots (3.5 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game. ASD Pineto Calcio score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. ASD Pineto Calcio average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 11 Jan 2026, it finished Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC 3-3 ASD Pineto Calcio.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC 1-1 ASD Pineto Calcio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).