OFK Vrsac vs FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Match details. Prva Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski stadion Vrsac.
What's at stake. OFK Vrsac are 4th on 21 points after 11 games, level on points with Semendrija 1924, 1 point clear of Javor. A win would take them above Semendrija 1924. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac are 6th on 17 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Javor, 2 points clear of FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV. A win would take them level on points with Javor.
Form. OFK Vrsac have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition OFK Vrsac have gone L W W W L L. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac have gone W W W W D L.
The numbers. OFK Vrsac score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. OFK Vrsac average 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac average 4.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings OFK Vrsac have won three, drawn one and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, OFK Vrsac won two, one was drawn and FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac won one. The last time they met, on 8 May 2024, it finished OFK Vrsac 1-0 FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac.
The case against. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. OFK Vrsac to win. A tight game. OFK Vrsac are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour OFK Vrsac. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: OFK Vrsac or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); OFK Vrsac to Win (the signs point different ways); OFK Vrsac or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: OFK Vrsac 1-0 FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).