Match details. 2nd Division, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Thisted FC are 12th on 4 points after 9 games, 1 point behind FA 2000. A win would take them above FA 2000. FC Roskilde are 4th on 15 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Middelfart, level on points with B 93. A win would take them above Middelfart.
Form. Thisted FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. FC Roskilde have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W.
The numbers. Thisted FC score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Thisted FC average 0.0 cards a game. FC Roskilde score two and concede one a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet. FC Roskilde average 0.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Thisted FC have won five, drawn two and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Thisted FC won two, one was drawn and FC Roskilde won one. The last time they met, on 29 May 2026, it finished Thisted FC 1-2 FC Roskilde.
Where it pulls both ways. FC Roskilde are the form side, but the meetings favour Thisted FC: in the last ten meetings, Thisted FC won five, FC Roskilde won three and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 76% on the records (Thisted FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8; FC Roskilde: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Thisted FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the tipsters back FC Roskilde, one team per match); FC Roskilde or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Thisted FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the tipsters back FC Roskilde, one team per match). Predicted score: Thisted FC 1-2 FC Roskilde (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).