Match details. Ettan, Norra - 25. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Skytteholms IP, Solna.
What's at stake. Vasalunds IF are 12th on 27 points after 24 games, 2 points behind Umeå FC, 3 points clear of Sollentuna. A win would take them above Umeå FC. FC Arlanda are 4th on 45 points after 24 games, level on points with Hammarby Talang, 2 points clear of FBK Karlstad. A win would take them above Hammarby Talang. Vasalunds IF have nothing left to play for, while FC Arlanda need the win.
Form. Vasalunds IF have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. In this competition Vasalunds IF have gone W L D L L L. FC Arlanda have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition FC Arlanda have gone W W W L L W.
The numbers. Vasalunds IF score 1.7 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. FC Arlanda score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Vasalunds IF have won none, drawn one and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished Vasalunds IF 1-2 FC Arlanda.
The case against. Vasalunds IF's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. FC Arlanda to win. An open game. FC Arlanda are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour FC Arlanda. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 79% on the records (Vasalunds IF: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; FC Arlanda: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Vasalunds IF Under 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Vasalunds IF 1-2 FC Arlanda (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).