FNFCN

11:00Sun 4 Oct

KAR

FC Nacka Iliria vs Karlslunds IF HFK

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Division 2, Södra Svealand - 24. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. FC Nacka Iliria are 12th on 24 points after 23 games, 2 points behind Syrianska FC, 4 points clear of Lindo FF. A win would take them above Syrianska FC. Karlslunds IF HFK are 9th on 28 points after 23 games, 5 points behind Fittja, 1 point clear of Örebro Syrianska. FC Nacka Iliria have nothing left to play for. Karlslunds IF HFK have nothing left to play for.

Form. FC Nacka Iliria have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. In this competition FC Nacka Iliria have gone W W L D L W. Karlslunds IF HFK have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition Karlslunds IF HFK have gone D W L D W W.

The numbers. FC Nacka Iliria score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Karlslunds IF HFK score two and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets.

Head to head. In the last three meetings FC Nacka Iliria have won two, drawn none and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 24 May 2026, it finished FC Nacka Iliria 1-2 Karlslunds IF HFK.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Nacka Iliria or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Karlslunds IF HFK or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Karlslunds IF HFK or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: FC Nacka Iliria 1-2 Karlslunds IF HFK (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCN 10 of 10 (100%) · KAR 10 of 10 (100%)100%

FC Nacka Iliria: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Karlslunds IF HFK: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · FC Nacka Iliria: only games against sides at Karlslunds IF HFK's level · Karlslunds IF HFK: only games against sides at FC Nacka Iliria's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCN 6 of 10 (60%) · KAR 9 of 10 (90%)73.8%

FC Nacka Iliria: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Karlslunds IF HFK: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 3 · FC Nacka Iliria: only games against sides at Karlslunds IF HFK's level · Karlslunds IF HFK: only games against sides at FC Nacka Iliria's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.42

FCN 4 of 10 (40%) · KAR 8 of 10 (80%)61%

FC Nacka Iliria: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Karlslunds IF HFK: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 2 of 3 · FC Nacka Iliria: only games against sides at Karlslunds IF HFK's level · Karlslunds IF HFK: only games against sides at FC Nacka Iliria's level

FC NACKA ILIRIA GOALS

FC Nacka Iliria Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCN 9 of 10 (90%) · KAR 7 of 10 (70%)82.9%

FC Nacka Iliria scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Karlslunds IF HFK conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 3 · FC Nacka Iliria: only games against sides at Karlslunds IF HFK's level · Karlslunds IF HFK: only games against sides at FC Nacka Iliria's level

Left off the list: FC Nacka Iliria or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Karlslunds IF HFK or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Karlslunds IF HFK or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); FC Nacka Iliria or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.8%

FC Nacka Iliria goals →

Karlslunds IF HFK goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.9%

5-00.3%

0-17%

1-112%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-35%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.6%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC NACKA ILIRIALDWWWLDLWW1.70 PPG

KARLSLUNDS IF HFKDLDWWWDLWD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC NACKA ILIRIA HOMExKARLSLUNDS IF HFK AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME2.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS30%26%FAILED TO SCORE17%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.67POINTS A GAME1.29-0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.66LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 85/90

FC NACKA ILIRIA OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

KARLSLUNDS IF HFK OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC NACKA ILIRIAxKARLSLUNDS IF HFK

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.802.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%60%BOTH SCORE60%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

FC NACKA ILIRIA 2 · 67%DRAW 0KARLSLUNDS IF HFK 1 · 33%

2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-05-28FC Nacka Iliria 1 – 0 Karlslunds IF HFK

2023-09-30FC Nacka Iliria 2 – 1 Karlslunds IF HFK

2026-05-24FC Nacka Iliria 1 – 2 Karlslunds IF HFK

TRENDS

FC Nacka Iliria failed to score in 26% of their games.

Karlslunds IF HFK failed to score in 17% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table