Match details. Primera B. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Santa Cruz have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. San Marcos de Arica have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. CD Santa Cruz score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Santa Cruz average 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. San Marcos de Arica score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. San Marcos de Arica average 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: San Marcos de Arica or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); San Marcos de Arica or Draw (1UP) (no result call); San Marcos de Arica or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Santa Cruz 1-1 San Marcos de Arica (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).